Jimmy Boyd Jimmy Boyd
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2017
Marshall vs. Middle Tennessee State
Total
48½ -110
  at  BMAKER
in 4h

Free pick on Marshall/Middle Tennessee OVER 

I think we are getting some good value here with this low total that's been set for Friday's C-USA matchup between Marshall and Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders aren't the same offensive team without junior QB Brent Stockstill, who hasn't played in the last 5 and is listed as doubtful. His absence will have the public looking to take the UNDER with Marshall not considered a high-scoring team, but the books have already adjusted the number here.

Middle Tennessee sophomore John Urzua has flashed some decent potential, throwing for 359 yards against FAU. He's not afraid to take chances and that's not a bad thing. It increases the likelihood of some big plays and quick scores for Marshall, as well as some turnovers for Marshall that should lead to good field position and quick scores. We just have to hope the turnovers don't come deep in Marshall territory. 

I mentioned the Thundering Herd aren't considered a great offense. However, they have shown some positive signs here of late, scoring 38 at Cincinnati and 35 against Old Dominion last time out. Memphis isn't a great defensive team by any means and I look for Marshall to be able to move the ball. All we need is a combined 25 points each half and we are clear of the mark by 1.5-points. I think they get that and a lot more. Take the OVER! 

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Knicks vs Thunder
Thunder
-12 -107 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -

I see no reason why OKC won't turn this into a blowout against the Knicks tonight, as they open the season at home in a nationally televised game on TNT. This team built around the all-star trio of Westbrook, Anthony and George aren't going to be as good right now as they will be in December, but they don't need to be great to dismantle this Knicks team. 

New York is in full on rebuilding mode and simply don't have the offensive playmakers to keep this close. Rookie point guard Frank Ntilikina will be wondering what he got himself into when he tries to guard Westbrook. At the same time, Westbrook is going to make his life miserable when he has the ball. The Knicks didn't even average 100 points/game in the preseason and I don't see them coming close to the century mark in this one. 

There's also a little extra incentive here for the Thunder players to make sure Carmelo gets a win against his former team. It might not be pretty at times, but OKC should pull away and win this by at least 15 points. Take Oklahoma City! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Knicks vs Thunder
UNDER 215 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* Knicks/Thunder NO LIMIT Top Play on Thunder/Knicks UNDER

This is just too many points for this matchup. I believe we are seeing a high total here because of the fact that the Thunder now have 3 superstars in Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony. As good as those 3 are, it's going to take some time for these guys to form a chemistry on offense. George and Anthony are accustomed to being "the guy," but will have to learn to take a back seat to Westbrook. 

I think it takes as much as the first 20 games before this team really gels. The other thing is the depth isn't what it use to be. The Thunder are going struggle to get a whole lot out of their bench. 

There's also a decent chance the starters don't play the entire game here, as the Knicks have the makings of one of the worst teams in the league. New York just doesn't have the offensive fire-power and in today's game where everyone is lighting up the scoreboard, they didn't even average 100 ppg in the preseason when no one is playing defense. I don't see the offense doing much here on the road in what's going to be electric atmosphere inside Chesapeake Energy Arena. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Clippers vs Lakers
UNDER 219½ -108 Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on Lakers/Clippers UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's showdown between the Lakers and Clippers on TNT. This would have been a decent number last year, but these are two completely different teams. The Lakers are adjusting to life with rooking point guard Lonzo Ball. He's extremely talented, but his jump shot still needs a lot of work. 

I think Ball is going to have his hands full in this one, as he's up against one of the best defenders at the position in Patrick Beverley. He's going to do everything in his power to make life miserable for Ball and if he struggles the offensive output figures to take a hit. 

This Lakers team also has a new focus on the defensive end, as they really made it a point of emphasis to get better on that side of the ball. They showed some positive signs of being improved in the preseason and I think it carries over here against a Clippers team that figures to find life a lot more difficult offensively without Chris Paul at the point. Not to mention they lost their best 3-point shooter in J.J. Reddick and elite bench scorer Jamal Crawford. 

It doesn't hurt matters that the UNDER has cashed 9 times in the last 11 meetings. Take the UNDER! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Bulls vs Raptors
Bulls
+13 -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls +

I think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line. It's well known the Bulls are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and they were just in the news for the wrong reasons with a couple teammates getting into it at practice. No one is giving this team a shot and while I don't see them winning this game, I think they surprise here and keep it much closer than expected. 

As good as the Raptors are it's not going to be easy to get excited about playing a team like Chicago, who has a bunch of nobody's on the roster. The one thing to keep in mind is that with the loss of Rondo, Butler and Wade, they can incorporate more of head coach Fred Hoiberg's offensive scheme, which is floor spacing and attacking with the 3-point shot. 

Toronto also has a history of not being able to cash against this team. The Bulls are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 trips to Toronto. They make it 8-0 tonight. Take Chicago! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
UL-Lafayette vs Arkansas State
UNDER 65½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* Lafayette/Arkansas St Sun Belt DESTROYER on Lafayette UNDER

These weekday Sun Belt games are much lower-scoring than the overall numbers would suggest. So while we have two defenses that are near the bottom of the country in yards allowed, I expect this to go under the high total that's been set here. One of the reasons the defensive numbers are so bad for these teams is the big programs they play in non-conference. Lafayette played both Tulsa and Texas A&M and Arkansas State had to face both Nebraska and SMU. 

A prime example of how much lower-scoring these games can be is last week's contest with Lafayette against Texas State. The total was 55 and getting pounded by the public, yet the game finished with a final score of 24-7. The previous week the Ragin' Cajuns scored just 21 against Idaho. Arkansas State has allowed just 25 and 17 points in their two conference games. 

UNDER is 10-2-1 in Lafayette's last 13 conference games and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. UNDER is also 11-4-1 in Arkansas State's last 16 overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 19, 2017
Chiefs vs Raiders
Raiders
+3 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* Chiefs/Raiders AFC West GAME OF THE MONTH on Raiders +

I really like the value here with Oakland catching points at home in a prime time Thursday night matchup. It can't be underestimated how tough it is on the road team in these Thursday game and this a long trip out West for the Chiefs. 

Kansas City has been praised as the league's best team, but looked nothing like it in last week's home loss to the Steelers, where they couldn't even get a first down in the 1st half. It has them overvalued here by the books. 

Oakland has lost 4 straight and are now just 2-4 on the season. A loss here and there hopes of making the playoffs take a huge hit. This is every bit a "must-win" game for the home team

Expect to see the Raiders lay everything on the line and you can count on a rowdy and loud crowd here, as these two fan bases hate the opposing team. The home team has a big edge in these rivalry games and I look for the Raiders to save their season here and pull out the win. Take Oakland! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
Memphis vs Houston
Memphis
+3 -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* Memphis/Houston Thurs Night ATS NO BRAINER on Memphis +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points against the Cougars. I really think Memphis is the much better team and should be favored in this contest.

I had hight hopes for this Houston team coming into the season,  even after losing Herman. A big reason for that was they added in Texas A&M transfer Kyle Allen, who was the number recruit in his class at QB out of high school. Allen was a complete bust and quickly lost his job. Backup Kyle Postma hasn't been a whole lot better, as he's thrown 5 picks. 

Clearly there's something wrong with the offense if they are only scoring 17 points against Tulsa, who they lost to 17-45. The same Tulsa team that had started 1-5 and just lost 28-62 to Navy. Overall the Cougars are averaging just 25.5 ppg, which more than 10 points less than last year's average of 35.8. 

Memphis' offense ranks 14th in the country behind one the nation's most potent passing attacks that's headlined by quarterback Riley Ferguson (1,814 yards, 19-5 TD-INT ratio) and wide out Anthony Miller (45 catches, 606 yards, 9 TDs). The Tigers defense is also much better than the numbers, as their opponents in 2017 are averaging 472 ypg. They have simply faced some dynamic offenses. I'll take the team that's going to have the much easier time moving the ball in this one. Take Memphis! 

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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.

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