Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
Now that football is officially over, it is 100 percent focus on basketball. Fargo looks to add to his INCREDIBLE runs of +$36,554 in the NBA and +$15,490 in college hoops. Both runs are extended on Sunday!
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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 25, 2017
Hawks vs Magic
Hawks
-2½ -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The Hawks let us down last night but we will back them tonight in a very favorable situation. Prior to Friday, you have to go all the way back to early December to find the last time Atlanta has suffered consecutive losses. The Hawks fell behind early and big last night so no player registered more than 28 minutes which is a big factor heading into a game with no rest. Going back, the Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing with no rest while going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Orlando played Thursday and lost for the sixth time in seven games as Portland beat the Magic by nine points. The home floor has provided no advantage all season as Orlando is 9-19 here including losses in nine of its last 11 games. The Magic have been home underdogs numerous times this season and it has not been a good role as they are 3-14 straight up and 4-13 ATS. Atlanta is 20-9 this season against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league and it gets back into the win column in a big way tonight. 10* (503) Atlanta Hawks

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
+7 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Texas Tech has seen its NCAA Tournament hopes take a hit over the last week with a pair of overtime losses against West Virginia and Iowa St. The Red Raiders are now just 5-10 in the conference but they still have a relatively high RPI thanks to a pair of quality wins over West Virginia and Baylor while suffering some tough defeats. They have lost two other games by one point and another two games by four points so their record could be a lot better had they been able to close out some of these close games. They have a shot at winning out and then making a small run in the Big XII Tournament to enhance their chances. Oklahoma St. has been playing some of the best basketball in the conference as its 9-3 record over the last 12 games is second best only to Kansas. The schedule has been on the Cowboys side for sure though as seven of those conference wins have come against teams that are either in the bubble or have no chance of making the Big Dance. While road revenge is not a huge angle to go after, Texas Tech will be out to avenge it biggest conference loss of the season and one of only three losses at home. The Red Raiders have covered six of their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (549) Texas Tech Red Raiders

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
Bradley vs Drake
Drake
-3 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is the final regular season game for Bradley and Drake as they look to position themselves for the final four seedings in the upcoming MVC Tournament. The Bulldogs are tied with Evansville and Indiana St., who are also playing each other this Saturday, for eighth place so a win here guarantees they will not be the lowest seed. They have dropped eight straight games with half of those coming on the road and three of the four coming at home against the top three teams in the conference. The other loss was just a three-point setback against Missouri St. Drake is 6-8 at home which is nothing great but this is the last home game of the season and it comes in a revenge game. Bradley has won its last two games but both of those came at home and on the season, the Braves are 2-10 on the road including a 1-7 record within the conference. Only one of those losses was a single-digit loss and they are getting outscored by nearly 14 ppg on the road. The Braves are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (544) Drake Bulldogs

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
West Virginia vs TCU
TCU
+4½ -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

TCU hung around with Kansas for a half but eventually ran out of gas as it lost by 19 points in Lawrence and saw its losing streak reach four games. Three of those came on the road and the other came at home against Oklahoma St. and all four losses were against teams heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Horned Frogs will be facing another tournament bounce team on Saturday and an upset win here will more than likely secure their own berth into the Big Dance despite a losing conference record. Their two other home conference losses came against Baylor and Kansas and both were competitive games until the end so they can hold their own again here. West Virginia is just 4-2 in February with three wins coming against teams not heading to the tournament and the fourth coming against Texas Tech in overtime and the Red Raiders are still a bubble team as well. The Mountaineers are 5-3 on the road and could once again be without second leading scorer Esa Ahmad who was injured two games back. The Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (522) TCU Horned Frogs

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
Iowa vs Maryland
Maryland
-7 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

After opening the season 20-2, Maryland has hit a rough patch as it has dropped four of its last six games including two in a row. The first one was a loss at Wisconsin which was expected but the last one came at home against Minnesota by 14 points and that one was certainly uncalled for. The Terrapins are now 10-5 in the Big Ten which is still good for solo third place so winning out will keep them in that spot and avoid a drop all the way down to sixth place in the conference. Iowa is coming off an overtime win at home over Indiana which snapped a three-game slide and the Hawkeyes are just playing spoiler at this point as they knocked the Hoosiers outside the bubble. While they have been solid at home, they have been dreadful on the road, going just 1-7 with the lone victory coming against 2-14 Rutgers. All but one of the seven road losses have been by double-digits and they are getting outscored by over 11 ppg on the highway. Going back, the Hawkeyes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Terrapins are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (572) Maryland Terrapins

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
Florida State vs Clemson
Clemson
-1 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Clemson has had this game circled for close to three weeks as it went to Tallahassee and got hammered by Florida St. 109-61. That has sent the Tigers on a 1-5 downward spiral yet despite being just 4-11 in the ACC, they are still considered a bubble team. That shows how bad the rest of the country is right now as far as average teams go and Clemson does deserve some credit despite this recent skid. Three of their last four losses have come by two points or less while the other came at Miami by just six points so the Tigers have been more than competitive. Florida St. bounced back from a pair of road losses with a win over Boston College which is far from impressive. The Seminoles have lost five of their last six road games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a must win for Clemson to have any shot at the TNCAA Tournament as the final two games are against NC State and Boston College so no quality wins would come from those. 10* (520) Clemson Tigers

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2017
Long Beach State vs UC-Davis
UC-Davis
-4½ -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

UC Davis is tied with UC Irvine atop the Big West Conference and the Aggies travel to face the anteaters in the regular season finale so the next two games are very important to make that last game have any meaning. UC Davis defeated Northridge in its last game which halted a two-game slide but both of those were on the road including an overtime loss at Long Beach St which sets up a nice revenge spot here. The Aggies are a perfect 9-0 at home, winning those games by an average of 12.5 ppg and 11 of those victories have been by at least nine points. The 49ers are just two games out of first place but they are coming off an awful loss at home against 4-9 Cal Poly which was just their second home loss of the season. The road has been the problem as they are 3-14 and while a lot of those came early on against powerhouses to try and get them ready for conference action, it has backfired. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (656) UC Davis Aggies

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2017
Jazz vs Wizards
Wizards
-2½ -102 at 5Dimes
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Washington closed out with three straight wins prior to the break but lost momentum with the time off as it opened the second half with a loss at Philadelphia. The road has been the real issue for the Wizards which are now just 10-15 on the highway but they have been exceptional at home, especially of late. Washington is 24-7 at home on the season including a 19-1 record over its last 20 games here with the lone loss coming against Cleveland in overtime nearly three weeks ago. They are catching a favorable price here as they look to add to their stellar 16-5 ATS record as favorites of fewer than six points. Utah opened the second half with a win over Milwaukee on Friday to improve to 16-11 on the road. Most of those victories have come against inferior teams however as only three of those 16 wins have come against teams with a winning record. Utah has defeated the teams is should as it is 32-9 as a favorite but it has struggled against the better opposition as it is 2-12 as an underdog, covering just three of those games. Going back, the Jazz are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (806) Washington Wizards

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2017
Middle Tennessee vs UAB
UAB
+6 -107 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

UAB was picked to finish second in Conference-USA but that will not be happening and now the Blazers goal is to get back into the top four to receive a first round bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They opened C-USA play with a loss at Middle Tennessee St. before running off five straight wins but is has been an up and down ride since then as UAB has gone just 3-6 over its last nine games. However, five of those losses came on the road (0-5) so a return home here is big as the Blazers are 10-3 on their home floor and this is the start of a three-game homestand to close out the season and UAB has not lost consecutive games at home since 2014. Middle Tennessee wrapped up the regular season championship with a win at Marshall last Saturday and while it can still finish with the same record as Louisiana Tech, it owns the tiebreakers and while closing the season against 6-10 FAU and 2-14 FIU. We do not see a ton of motivation on the side of the Blue Raiders considering this being their last true road game of the season and for what little is at stake. It is much more meaningful to the Blazers who will also be out for revenge after being held to a season low 49 points in the first meeting. The Blazers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (822) UAB Blazers

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2017
Butler vs Xavier
Xavier
+2 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Butler is coming off an upset win at Villanova and the Bulldogs have handed the Wildcats two of their three losses this season so they certainly want no part of the Bulldogs come Big East Tournament time. Butler improved to 22-6 overall including 11-5 in the conference to remain in second place, a spot it is likely to stay in come the end of the regular season. After that is where it gets really interesting. Six teams are within two games of each other and only two of those teams will be locking down an extra day off in the tournament which comes with possessing a No. 1 though No. 4 seed. Xavier is in the mix as it sits in the No. 4 slot but is also just a half-game out of the No. 5 spot. The Musketeers have lost four straight games starting with a home loss against Villanova and then dropping three straight on the road. Xavier is 12-2 at home, the other loss coming against Creighton, so it will have to protect its home court here to avoid a second straight home loss for the first time since December of 2011. Xavier has won five straight games at home in this series and going back, the Musketeers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (836) Xavier Musketeers

SERVICE BIO

Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

Rating Scale

Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.